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三状态、零利率:不完备下的价格区间

Zero interest rates 2

专题
Finance / 金融
难度
L4

题目详情

A stock is worth 100 today. There are zero interest rates. The stock can be worth 90,100, or 110 tomorrow. It moves to 110 with probability pp and 100 with probability

qq . What can we say about the price of a call option struck at 100.

解析

S0=100S_0=100,明天 S1{90,100,110}S_1\in\{90,100,110\}r=0r=0

市场只有股票与现金两种可交易资产,但到期有 3 个状态,因此模型不完备,call 不能唯一复制,只能给出无套利区间。

风险中性测度需满足 EQ[S1]=100\mathbb{E}^Q[S_1]=100,从而 Q(S1=110)=Q(S1=90)=pQ(S_1=110)=Q(S_1=90)=pQ(S1=100)=12pQ(S_1=100)=1-2p,且 p(0,0.5)p\in(0,0.5)

call payoff 仅在 110110 状态为 10,因此

C0=10p(0,5).C_0=10p\in(0,5).

包含端点的无套利界可写为

0C05.\boxed{0\le C_0\le 5}.