约会概率
Probability Discussion
题目详情
学生非常守时,在下午 4:00 到 5:00 之间均匀随机到达。Gabe 会迟到一点,在 4:30 到 5:00 之间均匀随机到达。
先到的人最多等 10 分钟,若另一个人仍未到就离开。
问:两人能见面的概率是多少?
Gabe and a student have decided to meet up to discuss probability. The student is very prompt and will show up at a uniformly random time between and PM. Gabe is a tad late, so he will show up at a uniformly random time between and PM. For whichever person gets there first, they will wait up to 10 minutes, and if the other person has not shown up, they will leave. Find the probability that the meeting occurs.
解析
令 为学生在 4:00 后的分钟数,;令 为 Gabe 在 4:00 后的分钟数,。
能见面等价于 。
在 平面上的可行区域面积占比计算可得概率为
Original Explanation
First, let's model this mathematically. Let and be the number of minutes after 4 PM that Gabe and the student show up, respectively. Then we have that and . The event that the meeting occurs is the just the event that , as they must differ by up to minutes.
We should draw out the region in the plane to see what we are working with. If you put on the -axis and on the -axis, we have a tall rectangle. When drawing the two lines corresponding to , you will notice that it is easier to calculate the probability of the complement, as those are easier regions to work with. You will see that there is one trapezoid and one triangle. It is easy enough to use some basic algebra to note that the slope is , so the line will go as far vertically as it does horizontally. You will find that the base of the trapezoid is , and the two heights are and , so its area is . The two sides of the triangle are each, so the area is . Thus, the probability of the complement is . Thus, the probability in the question is .