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等概率和问题

Uniform Sum Probability

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L5

题目详情

是否存在两个非公平的六面骰,点数仍为 1 到 6,但它们的点数和在 2 到 12 之间是等概率分布?

Is it possible to have two non-fair 6-sided dice, with sides numbered 1 through 6, with a uniform sum probability?

解析
不可能\boxed{\text{不可能}}

设一个六面骰各面的概率为 p1,p2,p3,p4,p5,p6p_1,p_2,p_3,p_4,p_5,p_6,另一个六面骰各面的概率为 q1,q2,q3,q4,q5,q6q_1,q_2,q_3,q_4,q_5,q_6。假设这两个骰子的点数和服从均匀分布,即对 k=2,,12k=2,\ldots,12,有 P(sum=k)=111P(\text{sum} = k) = \frac{1}{11}。那么:

p1q1=111p6q6=111p_1q_1 = \frac{1}{11} \quad \text{且} \quad p_6q_6 = \frac{1}{11}

同时,

111=P(sum=7)p1q6+p6q1\frac{1}{11} = P(\text{sum} = 7) \geq p_1q_6 + p_6q_1

因此:

p1111p6+p6111p1111p_1\frac{1}{11p_6} + p_6\frac{1}{11p_1} \leq \frac{1}{11}

也就是

p1p6+p6p11\frac{p_1}{p_6} + \frac{p_6}{p_1} \leq 1

x=p1p6x = \frac{p_1}{p_6},则有

x+1x1x + \frac{1}{x} \leq 1

这不可能成立,因为对任意正实数 xx,都有 x+1x2x + \frac{1}{x} \geq 2。因此,不存在这样的骰子。


Original Explanation

No\boxed{No}

Let p1,p2,p3,p4,p5p_1,p_2,p_3,p_4,p_5 and p6p_6 be the probabilities for one 6-sided die, and q1,q2,q3,q4,q5q_1,q_2,q_3,q_4,q_5 and q6q_6 be the probabilities for another. Suppose that these dice together yield sums with uniform probabilities. That is, suppose P(sum=k)=111P(\text{sum} = k) = \frac{1}{11} for k=2,...,12k=2,...,12. Then:

p1q1=111andp6q6=111p_1q_1 = \frac{1}{11} \quad \text{and} \quad p_6q_6 = \frac{1}{11}

Also,

111=P(sum=7)p1q6+p6q1\frac{1}{11} = P(\text{sum} = 7) \geq p_1q_6 + p_6q_1

so:

p1111p6+p6111p1111p_1\frac{1}{11p_6} + p_6\frac{1}{11p_1} \leq \frac{1}{11}

i.e

p1p6+p6p11\frac{p_1}{p_6} + \frac{p_6}{p_1} \leq 1

Now, if we let x=p1p6x=\frac{p_1}{p_6}, then we have

x+1xx + \frac{1}{x} \leq

which is impossible, since for positive real x,x+1x2x, x + \frac{1}{x} \geq 2. Thus, no such dice are possible.