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三个骰子严格递增的概率

Dice Order

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L4

题目详情

依次掷 3 个公平六面骰。问三次结果严格递增的概率是多少?

We roll 3 dice in sequence. What is the probability that the three outcomes are in strictly increasing order?

解析

先算三次都不相同的概率:

15646=59.1\cdot\frac{5}{6}\cdot\frac{4}{6}=\frac{5}{9}.

在互异条件下,三次结果的 6 种相对顺序等可能,严格递增占 1 种,因此条件概率为 1/61/6

所以总概率为

5916=554.\frac{5}{9}\cdot\frac{1}{6}=\frac{5}{54}.

Original Explanation

First, the probability that the three dice are all different is 1×56×46=59.1 \times \frac{5}{6} \times \frac{4}{6} = \frac{5}{9}. Then, given they are distinct, the chance that they are in strictly increasing order is 16\frac{1}{6}. Therefore, 59×16=554.\frac{5}{9} \times \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{54}.