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圆周随机取 N 点都落在某半圆内的概率

N Points on a Circle

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L4

题目详情

在圆周上均匀随机取 NN 个点。问:所有 NN 个点都落在某个半圆内的概率是多少?

NN points are chosen randomly on a circle. What is the probability that all NN points lie on some semicircle?

解析

答案是

N2N1.\frac{N}{2^{N-1}}.

固定其中一点作为半圆起点,其余 N1N-1 点都落在该半圆内的概率为 (12)N1\left(\frac12\right)^{N-1}

由于任意一点都可能成为“起点”,乘以 NN 得到结论。


Original Explanation

Label the points 1,2,,N1,2,\ldots,N clockwise. First, fix point 1. The probability that the remaining N1N-1 points all lie in the semicircle that starts at point 1 (in the clockwise direction) is

12N1.\frac{1}{2^{\,N-1}}.

Because any point could be the “start” of the containing semicircle, multiply by NN. Thus, the probability is

N2N1.\frac{N}{2^{\,N-1}}.