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单侧走廊:命中上界的贴现概率

One Sided Corridor

专题
Finance / 金融
难度
L4

题目详情

Let BtB_{t} be a Brownian Motion and uu a positive real number. We consider an option which pays 1 if BtB_{t} reaches uu

t0:Bt0=u;t[0,t0],Bt>d\exists t_{0}:B_{t_{0}} = u;\forall t\in [0,t_{0}],B_{t} > - d

payment is made when the barrier is touched. Calculate the price of this option when rates are zero and with rates r>0r > 0

解析

τu\tau_u 为布朗运动首次命中 u>0u>0 的时间。

  • r=0r=0:布朗运动常返,P(τu<)=1\mathbb{P}(\tau_u<\infty)=1,所以价格为 1\boxed{1}

  • r>0r>0:价格为 E[erτu]\mathbb{E}[e^{-r\tau_u}]

用指数鞅 exp(aBt12a2t)\exp\left(aB_t-\tfrac12a^2t\right) 在停时 τu\tau_u 应用可选停止,得

E[e12a2τu]=eau.\mathbb{E}\left[e^{-\frac12a^2\tau_u}\right]=e^{-au}.

a=2ra=\sqrt{2r},得到

E[erτu]=e2ru.\boxed{\mathbb{E}[e^{-r\tau_u}]=e^{-\sqrt{2r}\,u}}.