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最小值期望

What is the expected value of their minimum?

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L4

题目详情

概率题:n 个 U(0,1) 的最小值期望。

英文原题

Assume that X1,X2,,XnX_{1},X_{2},\ldots ,X_{n} are independent uniform random variables on [0, 1], where n2n\geq 2 . What is the expected value of their minimum?

解析

M=min(X1,ldots,Xn)M=\\min(X_1,\\ldots,X_n)。则\n\n\nmathbbP(M>t)=(1t)n,quad0letle1.\n\n\\mathbb{P}(M>t)=(1-t)^n,\\quad 0\\le t\\le 1.\n\n\n因此\n\n\nboxedmathbbE[M]=int01(1t)ndt=frac1n+1.\n\n\\boxed{\\mathbb{E}[M]=\\int_0^1(1-t)^n dt=\\frac{1}{n+1}}.\n


英文解析

Denote by MM the minimum of X1,X2,,XnX_{1},X_{2},\ldots ,X_{n} . The expectation of a positive random variable with differentiable cumulative distribution function can be computed using the formula

E[M]=0P(M>t)dt.\mathbb{E}[M] = \int_{0}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}(M > t)d t.

Since P(M>1)=0\mathbb{P}(M > 1) = 0 , it follows from (2.261) that

E[M]=01P(M>t)dt\mathbb{E}[M] = \int_{0}^{1}\mathbb{P}(M > t)d t

Since X1,X2,,XnX_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots , X_{n} , are independent,

P(M>t)=P(X1>t,X2>t,,Xn>t)=P(X1>t)P(X2>t)P(Xn>t)=(1t)n.\begin{array}{r l} & {\mathbb{P}(M > t) = \mathbb{P}\left(X_{1} > t,X_{2} > t,\ldots ,X_{n} > t\right)}\\ & {\qquad = \mathbb{P}\left(X_{1} > t\right)\mathbb{P}\left(X_{2} > t\right)\cdot \cdot \cdot \mathbb{P}\left(X_{n} > t\right)}\\ & {\qquad = (1 - t)^{n}.} \end{array}

From (2.262) and (2.263), we conclude that

E[M]=01(1t)ndt=1n+1(1t)n+1t=0t=1=1n+1\begin{array}{l}\mathbb{E}[M] = \int_{0}^{1}(1 - t)^{n}dt\\ \displaystyle = -\left.\frac{1}{n + 1} (1 - t)^{n + 1}\right|_{t = 0}^{t = 1}\\ \displaystyle = \frac{1}{n + 1}\cdot \boxed{ \begin{array}{rl} \end{array} } \end{array}