期权价格对参数变化的方向
Price Direction of Options
题目详情
香草(vanilla)欧式/美式期权的价值在下列参数变化时如何变化?
- :标的现价
- :行权价
- :到期剩余时间
- :波动率
- :无风险利率
- :未来分红现值(或分红强度)
How does the value of a vanilla European/American option change when vary?
解析
基本结论:
- 看涨 payoff:;看跌 payoff:。
- 欧式只能到期行权;美式可提前行权,因此“时间更多”对美式通常不减价值。
方向总结:
| 变量 | 欧式看涨 | 欧式看跌 | 美式看涨 | 美式看跌 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 上升 | 下降 | 上升 | 下降 | |
| 下降 | 上升 | 下降 | 上升 | |
| 不一定单调 | 不一定单调 | 上升 | 上升 | |
| 上升 | 上升 | 上升 | 上升 | |
| 上升 | 下降 | 上升 | 下降 | |
| 下降 | 上升 | 下降 | 上升 |
直觉:
- 越大,尾部更肥,期权(凸)更值钱。
- 越大, 越小:看涨更值钱、看跌更不值钱。
- 分红会压低标的预期价格,对看涨不利、对看跌有利。
Original Explanation
- A call payoff is . A put payoff is .
- A European option can be exercised only at maturity . An American option can be exercised at any time before .
The table shows the direction of change for each input variable:
| Variable | European call | European put | American call | American put |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (stock) | up | down | up | down |
| (strike) | down | up | down | up |
| (time) | ? uncertain | ? uncertain | up | up |
| (vol) | up | up | up | up |
| (rate) | up | down | up | down |
| (dividend) | down | up | down | up |
- Stock price / Strike : straightforward from payoff arguments.
- Time :
- For a European option: not necessarily monotonic, because it can only be exercised at . The effect of more time is uncertain for a pure European payoff.
- For an American option: having more time generally increases the option value (it can be exercised at any time).
- Volatility : higher volatility more chance to benefit from payoff value goes up.
- Risk-free rate : affects discounting of . Higher makes smaller call is worth more, put is worth less.
- Dividend : paying a dividend lowers the underlying stock price opposite effect to .