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三孩分苹果

three children but only one apple

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L4

题目详情

概率题:三孩分 1 个苹果:如何公平。

英文原题

You have three children, but only one apple. You want to toss a fair coin to determine which child gets the apple. You want each child to be equally likely to get the apple. What is your strategy?

解析

抛两次硬币,令

  • HT → 给孩子 1
  • TH → 给孩子 2
  • HH → 给孩子 3
  • TT → 重新开始

因为在“非 TT”的条件下,HT/TH/HH 等概率,所以每个孩子得到苹果概率均为 1/31/3


英文解析

There are many different possible answers; I give only two. Toss the coin

twice. If you get HTHT , give the apple to the first child. If you get THTH , give the apple to the second child. If you get HHHH , give the apple to the third child. If you get TTTT , then start again. This effectively takes TTTT out of the sample space.

A second solution is to toss the coin three times and assign the outcomes to the three children. Let TT win. If one child beats the other two (i.e., the outcome is some permutation of {T,H,H}\{T, H, H\} ), then give the apple to the child who was allocated the TT . Otherwise, toss three more times. This is isomorphic to a tournament where each child competes against each other child until one child beats both others.