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截断正态:E[XX>0]E[X\mid X>0]

Expected Value Using Integration

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L4

题目详情

XN(0,1)X\sim N(0,1),求 E[XX>0]E[X\mid X>0]

If XN(0,1),X\sim N(0,1), what is E[XX>0]E[X\mid X>0]?

解析

标准正态密度 f(x)=12πex2/2f(x)=\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-x^2/2}P(X>0)=1/2P(X>0)=1/2

E[XX>0]=0xf(x)dx1/2=2012πxex2/2dx.E[X\mid X>0]=\frac{\int_0^{\infty} x f(x)\,dx}{1/2}=2\int_0^{\infty} \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}x e^{-x^2/2}dx.

u=x2/2u=-x^2/2,积分为 12π\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}},所以

E[XX>0]=2π.E[X\mid X>0]=\sqrt{\frac{2}{\pi}}.

Original Explanation

For the standard normal pdf f(x)=12πex2/2,f(x)=\tfrac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}\,e^{-\,x^2/2}, we know P(X>0)=12.P(X>0)=\tfrac12. Thus E[XX>0]=0x12πex2/2dx12=2012πxex2/2dx.E[X\mid X>0] = \frac{\int_{0}^{\infty} x\,\tfrac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-\,x^2/2}\,dx}{\,\tfrac12\,} = 2\int_{0}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}\,x\,e^{-\,x^2/2}\,dx. A substitution u=12x2u=-\tfrac12\,x^2 shows the integral equals 12π,\tfrac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}, so E[XX>0]=2×12π=2π.E[X\mid X>0] = 2 \times \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} = \sqrt{\frac{2}{\pi}}.