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无限期限

Infinite Maturity

专题
Finance / 金融
难度
L3

题目详情

在给定行权价、波动率、利率和标的现价的情况下,无限到期的普通欧式看涨期权价值是多少?

What's the value of a vanilla European call option of infinite maturity, and a given strike, volatility, interest rate, and spot price?

解析

如果标的不支付股息,即连续股息率 q=0q=0,那么执行价为 KK、现价为 SS、无风险利率为 rr、波动率为 σ\sigma 的无限到期欧式看涨期权,在 Black-Scholes 模型下的极限价格为:

CT=S\boxed{C_{T \to \infty} = S}

没有股息时,一份超长期看涨期权几乎等同于持有股票:在足够长的时间范围内,标的价格大概率会超过任意固定的行权价;同时,在极远未来支付固定行权价的现值会趋近于 0,因为 KerT0Ke^{-rT} \to 0。因此期权价格趋近于股票现价 SS

如果标的支付连续股息率 q>0q > 0,则看涨期权价格的极限为

CT=0\boxed{C_{T\to\infty} = 0}

在正股息率下,股票会持续派发价值,而看涨期权持有人拿不到这些股息;在无限期视角下,这部分损失会把期权价值压到 0。


Original Explanation

If the underlying pays no dividends (continuous dividend yield q=0q=0), the Black-Scholes value of a European call with strike KK, spot SS, interest rate rr, and volatility σ\sigma tends to:

CT=S\boxed{C_{T \to \infty} = S}

With no dividends, owning a very long-dated call is almost as good as owning the stock: over an arbitrarily long horizon the stock will — with high probability — reach levels far above any fixed strike and, importantly, the present value of paying the fixed strike at that very far future time is essentially zero (because KerT0Ke^{-rT} \to 0 according to the Black-Scholes model). So the call's price approaches the stock price SS.


If the underlying pays a continuous dividend yield q>0q > 0, the call price instead tends to

CT=0\boxed{C_{T\to\infty} = 0}

With positive dividends the stock pays out value over time that the call-holder does not receive, and the present value of those foregone dividends over an infinite horizon wipes out the option's value — the call tends to zero.