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HMMT 二月 2016 · COMB 赛 · 第 2 题

HMMT February 2016 — COMB Round — Problem 2

专题
Contest Math / 竞赛数学
难度
L3
来源
HMMT

题目详情

英文原题

  1. Starting with an empty string, we create a string by repeatedly appending one of the letters H , M ,
    1 1 1
    T with probabilities , , , respectively, until the letter M appears twice consecutively. What is the
    4 2 4
    expected value of the length of the resulting string?
解析

英文解析

  1. Starting with an empty string, we create a string by repeatedly appending one of the letters H , M ,
    1 1 1
    T with probabilities , , , respectively, until the letter M appears twice consecutively. What is the
    4 2 4
    expected value of the length of the resulting string?
    Proposed by:
    Answer: 6
    Let E be the expected value of the resulting string. Starting from the empty string,
    • We have a chance of not selecting the letter M ; from here the length of the resulting string is 1
    1 + E .2
    • We have a chance of selecting the letter M followed by a letter other than M , which gives a 1
    string of length 2 + E .4
    • We have a chance of selecting M twice, for a string of length 2.1
    1 1 14
    Thus, E = (1 + E ) + (2 + E ) + (2). Solving gives E = 6.
    2 4 4