HMMT 十一月 2010 · 冲刺赛 · 第 18 题

英文解析

18. [ 9 ] Jeff has a 50 point quiz at 11 am. He wakes up at a random time between 10 am and noon, thenarrives at class 15 minutes later. If he arrives on time, he will get a perfect score, but if he arrives morethan 30 minutes after the quiz starts, he will get a 0, but otherwise, he loses a point for each minutehe’s late (he can lose parts of one point if he arrives a nonintegral number of minutes late). What is
    Jeff’s expected score on the quiz?
    Answer: If Jeff wakes up between 10:00 and 10:45, he gets 50. If he wakes up between 10:4555
    and 11:15, and he wakes up k minutes after 10:45, then he gets 50 − k points. Finally, if he wakes up 2
    3 3 1
    between 11:15 and 12:00 he gets 0 points. So he has a probability of 50, a probability of 0, and a
    8 8 4
    probability of a number chosen uniformly between 20 and 50 (for an average of 35). Thus his expected
    3 1 75+35 110 55
    score is × 50 + × 35 = = = .
    8 4 4 4 2