国际象棋锦标赛
Chess Tournament
题目详情
一场国际象棋锦标赛有 128 名选手,且每名选手的等级分都互不相同。比赛采用单败淘汰赛赛制。假设等级分更高的选手总能战胜等级分更低的对手,且胜者晋级下一轮。问等级分最高和次高的两名选手在决赛相遇的概率是多少?
A chess tournament has 128 players, each with a distinct rating. The tournament is set up as a single-elimination bracket. Assume that the player with the higher rating always wins against a lower rated opponent and that the winner proceeds to the subsequent round. What is the probability that the highest rated and second-highest rated players will meet in the final?
解析
由于等级分最高的选手一定能一路获胜,等级分第二高的选手也一定会一路获胜,直到碰到第一名为止。
因此,这两人只有在被分到对阵表的不同半区时,才会在决赛相遇。
- 整个 128 人签表分成两个半区,每个半区 64 个位置;
- 先固定第一名的位置后,第二名在剩下的 127 个位置中等概率落位;
- 其中有 64 个位置位于另一半区。
所以所求概率为
答案是
Original Explanation
In a single-elimination bracket with 128 players (), the highest-rated player will win every match they play. The second-highest rated player will also win every match until they face the highest-rated player.
The only way they meet in the final is if they are placed in opposite halves of the bracket.
- Each half has 64 slots.
- Once the top player is placed, there are 127 remaining slots for the second-highest player.
- To meet in the final, the second-highest player must be in the opposite half (64 slots).
Hence, the probability that the top two meet in the final is