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改造骰子

Invisible Dice

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L2

题目详情

有两枚公平六面骰。第一枚保持标准点数 161\sim6;第二枚把每个面擦掉后重写数字(可重复)。

要求两枚骰子点数和在 1,2,,121,2,\dots,12 上等概率。

问:第二枚骰子的六个面应写什么数?

I bought two fair six-sided dice. Keeping the first one untouched, I modified the second die, by erasing each face and writing a number of my own. Now, the sum of outcomes of the two dice is equally likely an integer between 1 and 12. Can you deduce the numbers written on the modified die?

Note: For each dice, each face is equally likely to turn up after a toss.

Hint

For the sum to be 1, we need at least one face must be 00

解析

第二枚骰子的六个面应为:

0,0,0,6,6,6.0,0,0,6,6,6.

这样与标准骰相加后,和在 1 到 12 的每个值出现概率相同。


Original Explanation

0 0 0 6 6 6

Solution

The sum of 1 and 12 ensures that there is at least one 0 and one 6. Since the sum ranges from 1 to 12 only, the faces of the modified die can only have an integer from 0 to 6. This also means that the sum of two outcomes can be 1 only iff the regular and modified dice outcomes are 1 and 0 respectively.

Let RR and MM be the outcomes of the regular and modified dice respectively.

    P(R+M=1)=P(R=1M=0)\implies P(R + M = 1) = P(R=1 \cap M = 0)

=P(R=1)P(M=0)= P(R=1) \cdot P(M = 0)

    1/12=1/6P(M=0)\implies 1/12 = 1/6 \cdot P(M = 0)

    P(M=0)=1/2\implies P(M = 0) = 1/2

Similarly, considering P(R+M=12)=1/12    P(M=6)=1/2P(R+M=12) = 1/12 \implies P(M=6) = 1/2

These two marginal probabilities sum to 1, i.e., there is no other number on any of the faces of the modified die. The modified dice must have three 0's and three 6's.