返回题库

AIME 2011 I · 第 12 题

AIME 2011 I — Problem 12

专题
Contest Math
难度
L4
来源
AIME

题目详情

Problem

Six men and some number of women stand in a line in random order. Let pp be the probability that a group of at least four men stand together in the line, given that every man stands next to at least one other man. Find the least number of women in the line such that pp does not exceed 1 percent.

解析

Solution

Let nn be the number of women present, and let _ be some positive number of women between groups of men. Since the problem states that every man stands next to another man, there cannot be isolated men. Thus, there are five cases to consider, where (k)(k) refers to a consecutive group of kk men:

_(2)_(2)_(2)_
_(3)_(3)_
_(2)_(4)_
_(4)_(2)_
_(6)_

For the first case, we can place the three groups of men in between women. We can think of the groups of men as dividers splitting up the nn women. Since there are n+1n+1 possible places to insert the dividers, and we need to choose any three of these locations, we have (n+13)\dbinom{n+1}{3} ways.

The second, third, and fourth cases are like the first, only that we need to insert two dividers among the n+1n+1 possible locations. Each gives us (n+12)\dbinom{n+1}{2} ways, for a total of 3(n+12)3\dbinom{n+1}{2} ways.

The last case gives us (n+11)=n+1\dbinom{n+1}{1}=n+1 ways.

Therefore, the total number of possible ways where there are no isolated men is

(n+13)+3(n+12)+(n+1).\dbinom{n+1}{3}+3\dbinom{n+1}{2}+(n+1). The total number of ways where there is a group of at least four men together is the sum of the third, fourth, and fifth case, or

2(n+12)+(n+1).2\dbinom{n+1}{2}+(n+1). Thus, we want to find the minimum possible value of nn where nn is a positive integer such that

2(n+12)+(n+1)(n+13)+3(n+12)+(n+1)1100.\dfrac{2\dbinom{n+1}{2}+(n+1)}{\dbinom{n+1}{3}+3\dbinom{n+1}{2}+(n+1)}\le\dfrac{1}{100}. After simplification, we arrive at

6(n+1)n2+8n+61100.\dfrac{6(n+1)}{n^2+8n+6}\le\dfrac{1}{100}. Simplifying again, we see that we seek the smallest positive integer value of nn such that n(n592)594n(n-592)\ge594. Clearly n>592n>592, or the left side will not even be positive; we quickly see that n=593n=593 is too small but n=594n=\boxed{594} satisfies the inequality.