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AIME 2007 II · 第 10 题

AIME 2007 II — Problem 10

专题
Contest Math
难度
L4
来源
AIME

题目详情

Problem

Let SS be a set with six elements. Let P\mathcal{P} be the set of all subsets of S.S. Subsets AA and BB of SS, not necessarily distinct, are chosen independently and at random from P\mathcal{P}. The probability that BB is contained in one of AA or SAS-A is mnr,\frac{m}{n^{r}}, where mm, nn, and rr are positive integers, nn is prime, and mm and nn are relatively prime. Find m+n+r.m+n+r. (The set SAS-A is the set of all elements of SS which are not in A.A.)

解析

Solution 1

Use casework:

  • BB has 6 elements:
    • Probability: 126=164\frac{1}{2^6} = \frac{1}{64}
    • AA must have either 0 or 6 elements, probability: 226=264\frac{2}{2^6} = \frac{2}{64}.
  • BB has 5 elements:
    • Probability: (65)/64=664{6\choose5}/64 = \frac{6}{64}
    • AA must have either 0, 6, or 1, 5 elements. The total probability is 264+264=464\frac{2}{64} + \frac{2}{64} = \frac{4}{64}.
  • BB has 4 elements:
    • Probability: (64)/64=1564{6\choose4}/64 = \frac{15}{64}
    • AA must have either 0, 6; 1, 5; or 2,4 elements. If there are 1 or 5 elements, the set which contains 5 elements must have four emcompassing BB and a fifth element out of the remaining 22 numbers. The total probability is 264((20)+(21)+(22))=264+464+264=864\frac{2}{64}\left({2\choose0} + {2\choose1} + {2\choose2}\right) = \frac{2}{64} + \frac{4}{64} + \frac{2}{64} = \frac{8}{64}.

We could just continue our casework. In general, the probability of picking B with nn elements is (6n)64\frac{{6\choose n}}{64}. Since the sum of the elements in the kkth row of Pascal's Triangle is 2k2^k, the probability of obtaining AA or SAS-A which encompasses BB is 27n64\frac{2^{7-n}}{64}. In addition, we must count for when BB is the empty set (probability: 164\frac{1}{64}), of which all sets of AA will work (probability: 11).

Thus, the solution we are looking for is (i=16(6i)6427i64)+1646464\left(\sum_{i=1}^6 \frac{{6\choose i}}{64} \cdot \frac{2^{7-i}}{64}\right) + \frac{1}{64} \cdot \frac{64}{64} =(1)(64)+(6)(64)+(15)(32)+(20)(16)+(15)(8)+(6)(4)+(1)(2)(64)(64)=\frac{(1)(64)+(6)(64)+(15)(32)+(20)(16)+(15)(8)+(6)(4)+(1)(2)}{(64)(64)} =1394212=\frac{1394}{2^{12}} =697211=\frac{697}{2^{11}}.

The answer is 697+2+11=710697 + 2 + 11 = 710.

Solution 2

we need BB to be a subset of AA or SAS-A we can divide each element of SS into 4 categories:

  • it is in AA and BB
  • it is in AA but not in BB
  • it is not in AA but is in BB
  • or it is not in AA and not in BB

these can be denoted as +A+B+A+B, +AB+A-B,A+B-A+B, and AB-A-B

we note that if all of the elements are in +A+B+A+B, +AB+A-B or AB-A-B we have that BB is a subset of AA which can happen in 3646\dfrac{3^6}{4^6} ways

similarly if the elements are in +AB+A-B,A+B-A+B, or AB-A-B we have that BB is a subset of SAS-A which can happen in 3646\dfrac{3^6}{4^6} ways as well

but we need to make sure we don't over-count ways that are in both sets these are when +AB+A-B or AB-A-B which can happen in 2646\dfrac{2^6}{4^6} ways so our probability is 2362646=3625211=697211\dfrac{2\cdot 3^6-2^6}{4^6}= \dfrac{3^6-2^5}{2^{11}}=\dfrac{697}{2^{11}}.

so the final answer is 697+2+11=710697 + 2 + 11 = 710.

Solution 3

BB must be in AA or BB must be in SAS-A. This is equivalent to saying that BB must be in AA or BB is disjoint from AA. The probability of this is the sum of the probabilities of each event individually minus the probability of each event occurring simultaneously. There are (6x)\binom{6}{x} ways to choose AA, where xx is the number of elements in AA. From those xx elements, there are 2x{2^x} ways to choose BB. Thus, the probability that BB is in AA is the sum of all the values (6x)(2x)\binom{6}{x}({2^x}) for values of xx ranging from 00 to 66. For the second probability, the ways to choose AA stays the same but the ways to choose BB is now 26x{2^{6-x}}. We see that these two summations are simply from the Binomial Theorem and that each of them is (2+1)6{(2+1)^6}. We subtract the case where both of them are true. This only happens when BB is the null set. AA can be any subset of SS, so there are 26{2^6} possibilities. Our final sum of possibilities is 236262\cdot 3^6-2^6. We have 26{2^6} total possibilities for both AA and BB, so there are 212{2^{12}} total possibilities. This reduces down to 2362646=3625211=697211\dfrac{2\cdot 3^6-2^6}{4^6}= \dfrac{3^6-2^5}{2^{11}}=\dfrac{697}{2^{11}}. The answer is thus 697+2+11=710697 + 2 + 11 = 710.

Solution 4

Let S|S| denote the number of elements in a general set SS. We use complementary counting.

There is a total of 262^6 elements in PP, so the total number of ways to choose AA and BB is (26)2=212(2^6)^2 = 2^{12}.

Note that the number of xx-element subset of SS is (6x)\binom{6}{x}. In general, for 0A60 \le |A| \le 6, in order for BB to be in neither AA nor SAS-A, BB must have at least one element from both AA and SAS-A. In other words, BB must contain any subset of AA and SAS-A except for the empty set {}\{\}. This can be done in (6A)(2A1)(26A1)\binom{6}{|A|} (2^{|A|} - 1)(2^{6-|A|} - 1) ways. As A|A| ranges from 00 to 66, we can calculate the total number of unsuccessful outcomes to be

A=06(6A)(2A1)(26A1)=2702.\sum_{|A| = 0}^{6} \binom{6}{|A|} (2^{|A|} - 1)(2^{6-|A|} - 1) = 2702. So our desired answer is

12702212=697211710.1 - \dfrac{2702}{2^{12}} = \dfrac{697}{2^{11}} \Rightarrow \boxed{710}. -MP8148

Solution 5

To begin with, we note that there are 262^6 subsets of SS(which we can assume is {1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}), including the null set. This gives a total of (26)2=212(2^6)^2 = 2^{12} total possibilities for A and B.

Case 1: B is contained in A. If B has 00 elements, which occurs in (60)\binom{6}{0} ways, A can be anything, giving us (60)26\binom{6}{0} \cdot 2^6. If B has 11 element, A must contain that element, and then the remaining 5 are free to be in A or not in A. This gives us (61)25\binom{6}{1} \cdot 2^5. Summing, we end up with the binomial expansion of (2+1)6=36(2 + 1)^6 = 3^6.

Case 2: B is contained in S-A. By symmetry, this case is the same as Case 1, once again giving us 363^6 possibilities.

Case 3: B is contained in both. We claim here that B can only be the null set. For contradiction, assume that there exists some element xx in B which satisfies this restriction. Then, A must contain xx as well, but we also know that SAS-A contains xx, contradiction. Hence, B is the null set, whereas A can be anything. This gives us 262^6 possibilities.

Since we have overcounted Case 3 in both of the other two cases, our final count is 236262 \cdot 3^6 - 2^6. This gives us the probability 23626212\frac{2 \cdot 3^6 - 2^6}{2^{12}}. Upon simplifying, we end up with 697211\frac{697}{2^{11}}, giving the desired answer of 710\boxed{710}. - Spacesam

~clarifications by LeonidasTheConquerer

Video Solution

2007 AIME II #10

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