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AIME 2001 I · 第 6 题

AIME 2001 I — Problem 6

专题
Contest Math
难度
L4
来源
AIME

题目详情

Problem

A fair die is rolled four times. The probability that each of the final three rolls is at least as large as the roll preceding it may be expressed in the form mn\frac{m}{n} where mm and nn are relatively prime positive integers. Find m+nm + n.

解析

Solutions

Solution 1

Recast the problem entirely as a block-walking problem. Call the respective dice a,b,c,da, b, c, d. In the diagram below, the lowest yy-coordinate at each of aa, bb, cc, and dd corresponds to the value of the roll.

AIME diagram

The red path corresponds to the sequence of rolls 2,3,5,52, 3, 5, 5. This establishes a bijection between valid dice roll sequences and block walking paths.

The solution to this problem is therefore (94)64=772\dfrac{\binom{9}{4}}{6^4} = {\dfrac{7}{72}}. So the answer is 079\boxed{079}.

Solution 2

Let a,b,c,a, b, c, and dd be the results of rolling the four dice respectively. We have the range 1abcd61\leq a\leq b\leq c\leq d\leq 6, and there are 64=12966^4=1296 total outcomes from rolling the dice. To transfer the inequality into a strictly increasing inequality, we can transform it into 1a.Now,letssuppose1\leq a. Now, lets supposea'=a, b'=b+1, c'=c+2,andandd'=d+3.Then,. Then,1\leq a'. Clearly, there are (94)=126\binom{9}{4}=126 values that satisfy this equation, so our answer is (94)64=772    079\dfrac{\binom{9}{4}}{6^4} = {\dfrac{7}{72}}\implies \boxed{079}.

~Mathkiddie

Solution 3

If we take any combination of four numbers, there is only one way to order them in a non-decreasing order. It suffices now to find the number of combinations for four numbers from {1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}. We can visualize this as taking the four dice and splitting them into 6 slots (each slot representing one of {1,2,3,4,5,6}), or dividing them amongst 5 separators. Thus, there are (94)=126{9\choose4} = 126 outcomes of four dice. The solution is therefore 12664=772\frac{126}{6^4} = \frac{7}{72}, and 7+72=0797 + 72 = \boxed{079}.

Solution 4

Call the dice rolls a,b,c,da, b, c, d. The difference between the aa and dd distinguishes the number of possible rolls there are.

  • If ad=0a - d = 0, then the values of b, cb,\ c are set, and so there are 66 values for a, da,\ d.
  • If ad=1a - d = 1, then there are (32)=3{3\choose2} = 3 ways to arrange for values of b, cb,\ c, but only 55 values for a, da,\ d.
  • If ad=2a - d = 2, then there are (42)=6{4\choose2} = 6 ways to arrange b,cb, c, and there are only 62=46 - 2 = 4 values for a,da, d.

Continuing, we see that the sum is equal to i=05(i+22)(6i)=6+15+24+30+30+21=126\sum_{i = 0}^{5}{i+2\choose2}(6 - i) = 6 + 15 + 24 + 30 + 30 + 21 = 126. The requested probability is 12664=772\frac{126}{6^4} = \frac{7}{72} and our answer is 79\boxed{79}.

Solution 5

The dice rolls can be in the form

ABCD AABC AABB AAAB AAAA

where A, B, C, D are some possible value of the dice rolls. (These forms are not keeping track of whether or not the dice are in ascending order, just the possible outcomes.)

  1. Now, for the first case, there are (64)=15{6\choose4} = 15 ways for this. We do not have to consider the order because the combination counts only one of the permutations; we can say that it counts the correct (ascending order) permutation.
  2. Second case: (63)=20{6\choose3} = 20 ways to pick 3 numbers, (31){3\choose1} ways to pick 1 of those 3 to duplicate. A total of 60 for this case.
  3. Third case: (62)=15{6\choose2}=15 ways to pick 2 numbers. We will duplicate both, so nothing else in this case matters.
  4. Fourth case: (62)=15{6\choose2} = 15 ways to pick 2 numbers. We pick one to duplicate with (21)=2{2\choose1} = 2, so there are a total of 30 in this case.
  5. Fifth case: (61)=6{6\choose1} = 6; all get duplicated so nothing else matters.

There are a total of 646^4 possible dice rolls.

Thus,

mn=15+60+15+30+664=12664=772\frac{m}{n} = \frac{15 + 60 + 15 + 30 + 6}{6^4} = \frac{126}{6^4} = \frac{7}{72}

Therefore, our answer is 079\boxed{079}

Solution 6

Consider the number of possible dice roll combinations which work after 11 roll, after 22 rolls, and so on. There is 6 possible rolls for the first dice. If the number rolled is a 1, then there are 6 further values that are possible for the second dice; if the number rolled is a 2, then there are 5 further values that are possible for the second dice, and so on.

Suppose we generalize this as a function, say f(l,r)f(l,r) return the number of possible combinations after ll rolls and rr being the beginning value of the first roll. It becomes clear that from above, f(1,r)=1f(1,r) = 1; every value of ll after that is equal to the sum of the number of combinations of l1l - 1 rolls that have a starting value of at least rr. If we slowly count through and add up all the possible combinations we get 772\frac{7}{72} possibilities.

Solution 7

In a manner similar to the above solution, instead consider breaking it down into two sets of two dice rolls. The first subset must have a maximum value which is \le the minimum value of the second subset.

  • If the first subset ends in a 1, there is 11 such subset and there are 6+5+4+3+2+1=62(6+1)=216 + 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = \frac{6}{2}(6 + 1) = 21 ways of making the second subset.
  • If the first subset ends in a 2, there is 22 such subsets and there are 5++1=52(5+1)=155 + \ldots + 1 = \frac{5}{2}(5 + 1) = 15 ways of making the second subset.

Thus, the number of combinations is i=16i((7i)(8i)2)=21+30+30+24+15+6=126\sum_{i=1}^6 i \cdot \left(\frac{(7 - i)(8 - i)}{2}\right) = 21 + 30 + 30 + 24 + 15 + 6 = 126, and the probability again is 772\frac7{72}, giving m+n=079m+n=\boxed{079}.

Solution 8 Recursion Formula

If you're too tired to think about any of the above smart transformations of the problem, a recursion formula can be a robust way to the correct answer.

We just need to work out the valid cases for each roll. Denote by Nk(n)N_{k}(n) the number of valid cases in the k+1k+1-th roll when the number nn is rolled, for k=1,2,3k=1,2,3 and 1n61 \leq n \leq 6. Then we have the following recursion formula:

N1(n)=nN_{1}(n) = n N2(n)=N1(1)+N1(2)+...+N1(n)=N2(n1)+N1(n)N_{2}(n) = N_{1}(1) + N_{1}(2) + ... + N_{1}(n)=N_{2}(n-1)+N_{1}(n) N3(n)=N2(1)+N2(2)+...+N2(n)=N3(n1)+N2(n)N_{3}(n) = N_{2}(1) + N_{2}(2) + ... + N_{2}(n)=N_{3}(n-1)+N_{2}(n) The logic is that, if nn is rolled, then the number of valid cases is the subtotal of valid cases in the preceding roll for the outcome of 1 to nn. The recursion can be easily calculated by hand when Nk(n)N_k(n) are put in columns side by side, given the fact that te numbers are smaller than 100. Finally, the total number of cases is

N=n=16N3(n)N = \sum_{n=1}^{6} N_{3}(n) and

P=N64P = \frac{N}{6^4}

Solution 9: Observation of each case

Lets try casework and observe the cases. Notice that if the last roll is a 11, then the only dice rolls may be 11111-1-1-1, which is only 11 possibility. Observe that if the last roll is 22, then there are 4=1+34 = 1 + 3 possibilities. When the last roll is a 33, there are 10=1+3+610 = 1 + 3 + 6 possibilities. Notice when the last roll is nn, the number of cases is the sum of the first nn positive triangular numbers. This is easily provable when observing the numbers of possibilities after assigning a value to the last and second to last rolls. So there are a total of 1+1+3+1+3+6+1+3+6+10+1+3+6+10+15+1+3+6+10+15+21=1261 + 1 + 3 + 1 + 3 + 6 + 1 + 3 + 6 + 10 + 1 + 3 + 6 + 10 + 15 + 1 + 3 + 6 + 10 + 15 + 21 = 126 possibilities. So the probability is 12664=772\frac{126}{6^4} = \frac{7}{72} and 7+72=0797 + 72 = \boxed{079}. ~skyscraper

Solution 10: Distributions

This is equivalent to picking a four-element sequence of {1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\} with repetition. Notice that once the sequence is picked, there is one and only one way to order these so that they form a sequence of rolls satisfying our conditions.

Now count the number of such four-element sequences, let aa be the number of 11s in the sequence, bb be the number of 22s, cc 33s, dd 44s, ee 55s, and ff 66s. Now we see that we must have

a+b+c+d+e+f=4a + b + c + d + e + f = 4 with a,b,c,d,e,fa, b, c, d, e, f being nonnegative integers since there are a total of 44 numbers picked. The number of solutions to this is (94),\dbinom{9}{4}, so our total number is equal to (94)64=772,\dfrac{\binom{9}{4}}{6^4} = \dfrac{7}{72}, making our answer 079.\boxed{079}.

~Ilikeapos

Solution 11: Stars and Bars(Under 2 minutes)

Let the rolls be a,b,ca,b,c and dd\newline let z=a1,e=ba,f=cb,g=dc,h=6dz=a-1, e=b-a, f=c-b, g=d-c, h=6-d\newline z+e+f+g+h=5z+e+f+g+h=5\newline This equation has C(5+51,51)=126C(5+5-1, 5-1)=126 integer solutions\newline 126/1296=7/72126/1296=7/72\newline 7+72=0797+72=\boxed{079} ~ryanbear

Solution 12

Let's say the four dice values are all different. These can only be arranged in one way to satisfy our conditions, so there are (64)=15\binom{6}{4}=15 ways. If there are three different values, there are (63)\binom{6}{3} to choose the numbers and (31)\binom{3}{1} to choose which number will have the repeat, so 203=6020\cdot3=60 ways. If there are two different values, there are (62)\binom{6}{2} ways to choose the numbers. If there are two of each, then there is one way. If there are three of one and one of another, then there are (21)\binom{2}{1} ways. Therefore 15(1+2)=4515\cdot(1+2)=45. Now if all the numbers are the same, there are (61)=6\binom{6}{1}=6 ways. Altogether we have 15+60+45+6=12615+60+45+6=126 ways. 12664=21216=772\frac{126}{6^4}=\frac{21}{216}=\frac{7}{72}. 7+72=0797+72=\boxed{079}. ~MC413551