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Chuck-a-Luck 博彩

Chuck a Luck

专题
Probability / 概率
难度
L4

题目详情

一个博彩游戏:你可以花 1 卢比在 1~6 中选一个号码下注。随后掷 3 枚相同但可能不公平的骰子。

如果你下注的号码在 3 枚骰中出现了 0/1/2/3 次,你分别赢得 0/1/2/3 卢比(不返还下注的 1 卢比)。

问:买一张 1 卢比的票后,你的期望赢得金额是多少?

In this gambling game, a player can buy a ticket for Rs 1 on any number from 1 to 6. Three identical and unfair dice are rolled. If the booked number appears on 0, 1, 2 or 3 dice, player wins Rs 0, 1, 2 or 3 respectively, without returning the original Rs 1. What is expected money you can win after buying a ticket for Rs 1?

Hint

Book the full house

解析

期望赢得金额为 12\frac{1}{2}

想法:把 1~6 每个号码都各买 1 张票(总花 6)。无论掷出什么点数,三枚骰子一共会给你返还 3(因为每个骰子点数对应的那张票返 1)。因此每张票的期望返还为 3/6=1/23/6=1/2


Original Explanation

1/2

Solution

We bet Rs 1 on each number 1-6. In any case, we get Rs 3 back. That is 1/2 per ticket. Hence the expected amount of money we can win is 1/2. A tedious way to arrive at this answer is to calculate the probability of getting 1, 2 or 3 faces common to our booking.